Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 76524.057116 80850.928143 85180.272071 89833.974306 94691.653402 99609.490174 104961.389686
2025-04-06 69230.437818 75827.861520 82617.787054 90118.254672 98161.388378 106517.585998 115845.345918
2025-04-13 63807.253583 71922.294736 80462.578555 90100.148343 100652.839369 111835.562815 124561.057041
2025-04-20 60493.819347 69831.916757 79842.222098 91337.889899 104139.965085 117924.230810 133852.939465
2025-04-27 57810.982256 68142.900744 79398.138937 92520.533370 107348.246681 123531.994396 142478.437022
2025-05-04 55191.073242 66306.068112 78592.673478 93114.561222 109739.022108 128104.921646 149855.399373
2025-05-11 52577.693220 64301.452988 77438.663313 93163.493078 111382.351319 131733.912145 156090.269343
2025-05-18 50378.783522 62643.621878 76562.097814 93417.793858 113163.282971 135444.621708 162366.235972
2025-05-25 48326.099647 61046.217567 75655.269158 93542.916649 114714.719644 138832.110451 168231.472464
2025-06-01 47030.648913 60275.834670 75655.552839 94676.335442 117400.907935 143508.467975 175588.252675
2025-06-08 45153.249079 58717.349329 74641.256386 94532.674700 118519.103722 146309.289337 180725.369122
2025-06-15 44254.955979 58305.725149 74963.981715 95958.784818 121485.312154 151280.771322 188436.047605
2025-06-22 43099.880505 57546.520515 74846.570931 96848.030675 123822.220853 155544.218474 195377.054748
2025-06-29 41638.838228 56351.461472 74149.098450 96989.711528 125227.114499 158683.679747 200984.998570
2025-07-06 40175.240998 55097.721184 73329.212337 96934.968617 126355.951434 161468.236194 206159.506219
2025-07-13 39451.574305 54755.535992 73620.280151 98240.224171 129147.573110 166271.512369 213802.278042
2025-07-20 38751.183869 54412.202221 73884.580546 99492.930995 131865.511106 170990.096426 221365.653945
2025-07-27 37811.131063 53720.953159 73676.134549 100122.572554 133788.752819 174728.670078 227738.980539
2025-08-03 36667.121409 52722.302676 73038.742522 100174.380558 134961.306623 177526.814813 232953.020325
2025-08-10 35676.520187 51894.096743 72591.775725 100444.061542 136390.450593 180635.273573 238557.544236
2025-08-17 34677.750206 51022.447588 72059.048001 100576.754083 137625.691535 183492.189927 243852.416083
2025-08-24 34168.060996 50794.105561 72355.697324 101778.692325 140229.783357 188078.101848 251339.840432
2025-08-31 33136.576116 49821.164803 71638.867657 101626.355244 141067.032836 190421.669242 256003.802372